69% of Latino Voters Disapprove of Trump Ahead of Midterms

The 2024 election results demonstrated a shift in support among specific demographic groups, but a new poll suggests that dynamic is reversing as voters head to the polls on November 3. The upcoming midterms could hinge on how this electorate responds to two years of Republican governance. The stakes are particularly high in congressional districts across the Southwest.

An October NBC News and Telemundo survey indicates that 69% of Latino voters now disapprove of President Donald Trump’s management. Only 27% approve of his job performance. This gap in approval ratings stands in contrast to the support he received from this group during the 2024 presidential race. The data suggests a significant portion of these voters may be looking to change the balance of power in Congress.

Economic concerns drive much of the dissatisfaction. The survey found that 78% of Latino voters disapprove of how Trump handles the cost of living. Additionally, 74% disapprove of his economic management. Among independent Latino voters, 72% believe his policies have harmed the economy, while just 10% say the policies have helped them. These figures reflect a perception that the administration has not delivered the financial stability many voters sought.

Immigration policy remains a central point of contention. Sixty-nine percent of Latino voters disapprove of Trump’s immigration approach. Two-thirds of these voters believe his enforcement measures have gone too far. The survey also reveals personal impacts of recent enforcement actions. Thirty-one percent said they or a close contact began carrying identification due to fear of Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations. Another 27% know someone who was detained or deported in the past two years.

The election outcome may depend on districts in Arizona, Colorado, and Texas. These areas have large Latino populations and are currently competitive. Democrats hope to capitalize on the reported discontent to win key seats. Clarissa Martínez De Castro, vice president of the Latino Voter Initiative, told Telemundo that many Latino residents are working hard but merely surviving. She argued that voters want candidates who offer concrete solutions for working families and a more humane immigration system.

Ricardo Rauseo, press secretary for Somos Votantes, told EFE that voters expected change from the new administration but have instead seen prices rise. He noted that nearly two years into the term, the focus on inflation has not waned. The voting-eligible Latino population is projected to reach 39 million in 2026. Pew Research Center estimates this represents a 16% increase from 2022. Mark Hugo Lopez, a Pew researcher, noted that this group is now the second-largest segment of eligible voters in the United States.

President Trump maintains that his administration is performing well despite the polling numbers. When asked about Hispanic voters, he stated, "I think we're doing well.. I have a tremendous Hispanic vote." During a campaign trip to Texas on October 2, Trump defended his immigration stance. He told reporters, "We have to do what we have to do," referring to mass deportation efforts. The November 3 election will determine which party controls the House of Representatives.